The Giants are allowing 23.0 points per game and Miami is allowing 23.3 points. What the sharps are doing here is forcing line movement, throwing up heavy cash on the under and doubling down on the over. This total is what THE MAC is considering a trap, lots of loot piling in on the under forced the books hands to drop the line by a field goal. The oddsmakers understand the dynamics and they opened the line at 43.5 just to drop it down to 40.5, this is a strong tell that public money is not expecting a shoot out.
That being said somehow the Dolphins have a winning record against the spread at home being 12-4 ATS in their last 16. The Dolphins are coming into Week 13 on a 4-game winning streak, which has moved them to 5-7 on the season, still a team that should be called the Miami Sardines because everyone opens a can on their lousy defense. The New York Giants, who have picked up 3 wins in their last 5 games, are still a team that smells like sour milk during practice.
